Climate change in the United Arab Emirates

Averaged over the whole country, the last ten years (2016–2025) were 2.0 °C warmer than 1951–1980 according to Copernicus ERA5 — faster than the global average of 1.1 °C over the same period. Land areas warm faster than the oceans, so most countries warm faster than the global figure.

Climate models project the United Arab Emirates to be about 1.7 °C warmer in 2040–2059 than in 1995–2014 under an intermediate scenario (SSP2-4.5; model range 1.2–2.3 °C), and 2.2 °C under very high emissions (SSP5-8.5).

The United Arab Emirates emitted 222 million tonnes of CO₂ from fossil fuels and industry in 2024, 0.6% of the global total, or 20.1 tonnes per person — 4.3 times the world average. Historically it has emitted 0.3% of all CO₂ since 1750.